I have no energy or motivation to do anything at all.

/sci/bros?: https://www.neimagazine.com/news/newsfirst-fuel-loaded-into-chinas-htr-pm-9028998

What is the probability we are living in a long-lasting civilization, given the fact that we know we were born during our generation?

let L be the event that our civilization lasts for X years
let B be the event that we are born now, 6000 years after the beginning of recorded history

From bayes theorem we have:
p(L|B) = p(B | L)p(L) / (p(B|L)p(L) + p(B|~L)p(~L))

p(B | L) = let's say 100/X since our time period is about 100 years long
p(B | ~L) = 100/ 6000 since our civilization has been around for about 6000 years.
p(L) = this one is hard because we don't have data on how many long-lasting civilizations exist, one might even want to set this to zero because of that fact, let's just call this variable p and we'll play around with the values.

p(L|B) = (100/X)p / ((100/x)p + (100/6000)(1-p))
If we set X to 60,000 and p to 0.1 we get this probability.
p(L|B) = (100/60000)(0.1) / ((100/60000)0.1 + (100/6000)(0.9)) = 0.010989011
So according to those parameters there is only a 1% chance that our civilization will last until 60,000 years.

In pic related you can see a plot where the x axis (going up and to the left) is the prior probability of a civilization lasting for X years, and the y axis (coming towards us) is how long you would expect that civilization to last. the z (vertical) is the probability that our civilization will last Y years. You can see that as the expected length of the civilization becomes longer, the probability that we are living in that civilization goes down.

Of course, there are various rejections to reasoning like this. One such being that no matter what you are always born at the very latest point in your civilization. But let me know what you think about this anons. Am I misusing statistics here? What facets of this am I leaving out?

fMRI is the new phrenology.

According to the uncertainty principle, if you put a particle between two walls, its speed and kinetic energy raise up because its position is very precise.
Where does that energy come from? Can't you use the uncertainty principle to generate infinite energy?

>AI tards
>can't prove their own consciousness to anyone but themselves
>hype about algorithm consciousness

why do i spontaneously recall fragments of random events from many years ago?

I want to teach myself math from Arithmetic to Analysis in a year
How do I do it?

I got banned from /sci/ for making a thread about Coronavirus being isolated and seen under electron microscopy.
Why are moderators so intent on spreading pseudoscience that they have to ban actual science when it's posted?

I know 50% of the movement on this board is alt-right tourists posting the latest conspiracy shit but you could at least try to hide a little better.

Is it true that if you have a mixed race child, you're more related to a random person of your race, than your own child?