/sci/ - Science & Math » Thread #8096916

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Anonymous Tue 24 May 19:10:27 2016 No.8096916 View Reply Original Report

Quoted By: >>8096954 >>8096961 >>8097176 >>8097181 >>8097436

>global warming was supposed to start hurting almost 5 years ago
>nothing has happened outside of Cali
>uneventful hurricane seasons for last few years
Could it have all been memes?

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 19:18:50 No.8096931 Report

Quoted By:

> global memeing
stop browsing /x/

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 19:20:56 No.8096934 Report

Quoted By: >>8097519

under which rock did you live your whole life?

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 19:30:56 No.8096946 Report

Quoted By: >>8097240

climatology is:
non reproducible
non predictive
wrong basically all the time

You can call it a science.
I call it circlejerking.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 19:35:25 No.8096954 Report

Quoted By:

>>8096916
>america is the globe

Anonymous

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Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 19:37:18 No.8096960 Report

Quoted By:

Oh come on, everyone made mistakes

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 19:38:11 No.8096961 Report

Quoted By:

>>8096916
t. burger

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 21:30:01 No.8097176 Report

Quoted By:

>>8096916
>Could it have all been memes?
Only if you believe in dumb conspiracy theories.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 21:33:20 No.8097181 Report

Quoted By: >>8097321

>>8096916
what happened in cali?

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 21:59:34 No.8097240 Report

Quoted By: >>8097261

>>8096946
>non reproducible
>implying temperature reconstructions aren't reproducible

>non predictive
>Implying rising temperatures can't be predicted.

>wrong basically all the time
>implying that you're right about anything.

http://grist.org/series/skeptics/
Go educate yourself. Plenty of evidence here with citations.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 22:12:10 No.8097261 Report

Quoted By: >>8097284 >>8097292

>>8097240
and yet you have yet to display one model that has been succesful in predicting temperature changes over any significant period of time.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 22:21:25 No.8097284 Report

Quoted By: >>8097295

>>8097261
>succesful in predicting temperature changes over any significant period of time.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chaos_theory

There are uncountable variables.

Got a model that denies temperature change which gives more successful predictions, or are you just a moran complaining about facts of life that make no impact on the discussion? Rhetoric is meaningless, show what studies you put your faith in and argue why they are more believable.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 22:24:05 No.8097292 Report

Quoted By:

>>8097261
>Implying models are the most important piece of evidence for global warming.
>Implying models need to be absolutely perfect at predicting temperature.

https://www.skepticalscience.com/climate-models-intermediate.htm

>When the phase of natural variability is taken into account, the model 15-year warming trends in CMIP5 projections well estimate the observed trends for all 15-year periods over the past half-century.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 22:25:29 No.8097295 Report

Quoted By: >>8097307 >>8097313

>>8097284
I said it's not a science, therefore it's unable to produce any "scientific study".
>There are uncountable variables.
that's a problem a model solves.

So you have a "science" that can make no predictions basically except "well delta T is positive if you wait long enough".
Keep up the good work climatology.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 22:29:06 No.8097307 Report

Quoted By: >>8097320

>>8097295
>>There are uncountable variables.
>that's a problem a model solves.
I'm laughing so hard. Please go read up the very basics of the concept of chaos theory, more carefully this time, and consider what that means about this world you once thought you understood.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 22:31:51 No.8097313 Report

Quoted By:

>>8097295
>input past data in support vector regression
>look it fits!
jesus fucking christ

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 22:34:16 No.8097320 Report

Quoted By: >>8097328

>>8097307
don't try to patronize me, that's my job.
a model is exactly about MODELING what you can't predict perfectly and drawing conclusions about the behavior of a complex system using few variables.
You're going to have to come up with better stuff than a wikipedia article to dismiss this.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 22:34:18 No.8097321 Report

Quoted By: >>8097591

>>8097181

a year long drought.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 22:37:31 No.8097328 Report

Quoted By: >>8097333

>>8097320
>MODELING what you can't predict perfectly
Stop embarrassing yourself. I'm telling you that what you're saying is wrong, so stop repeating it.

>You're going to have to come up with better stuff than a wikipedia article to dismiss this.
I gave you the easiest and most simplified explanation of the problem. If you don't like it, find your own sources of learning what chaos theory is and the history of it. I'm not your goddamn professor, I gave you the keyword you need to discover how much of the logic you're using is completely false.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 22:40:54 No.8097333 Report

Quoted By:

>>8097328
>I'm telling you that what you're saying is wrong, so stop repeating it.
but you are wrong yourself.
you're full of shit, I'm going to stop responding now, you're a tool who just looks cornered.
deal with your cognitive dissonance.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 23:26:33 No.8097436 Report

Quoted By:

>>8096916
My area has had more rain than ever before in its entire history. The good news is that ragweed season will be weak. The bad news is slugs ate my garden like the insect scene from King Kong.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 24 May 2016 23:55:31 No.8097519 Report

Quoted By:

>>8096934
You are the type of dude that shouts "look there's the global warming!" every time you see extreme weather or just weather you weren't expecting, aren't you?

Anonymous

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Anonymous Wed 25 May 2016 00:00:34 No.8097532 Report

Quoted By:

told you kids

Anonymous

Anonymous Wed 25 May 2016 00:02:52 No.8097536 Report

Quoted By:

It literally snowed this year.

Anonymous

Anonymous Wed 25 May 2016 00:22:45 No.8097591 Report

Quoted By: >>8097594

>>8097321
calm down Jake, it's just Chinatown

Anonymous

Anonymous Wed 25 May 2016 00:24:12 No.8097594 Report

Quoted By: >>8097798

>>8097591
I'm your father, Luke

Anonymous

Anonymous Wed 25 May 2016 02:10:24 No.8097798 Report

Quoted By:

>>8097594
Dorothy, this doesn't look like Kansas

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