>>10413025Are you really this retarded or merely pretending?
Ariane can do dual launches. So Ariane needs one launch for something SpaceX needs two.
Also, I was talking about commercial missions. SpaceX has 6 for the remainder of 2019, 6 in 2020, and 6 for the period beyond that (and 19 government launches from now on). Arianespace has 31 commercial missions from now onwards, some of them on Soyuz and Vega rockets (and an additional 9 missions from government). And BO has 10 commercial missions, despite the fact that they aren't even launching until 2021. So yes, until the BFR launches, SpaceX is going to lose the commercial market. And the BFR, even if you are very, very generous, won't launch before 2025. So you have 3-4 years for SpaceX at least where they are barely going to get any commercial launches. So they need to focus on government launches. If you read the news, you can see how much SpaceX is suddenly shooting towards getting government launches. They also upped their lobby game. After that, it completely depends on how the BFR turns out to be. If it becomes cheap, they can reclaim market shares in the commercial market. If it turns out to be expensive, SpaceX will either turn into a second ULA, feeding off having a few very overpriced launches per year, or disappear completely.
