>>10493636>Are your chances really lower? if she usually bets with a made hand or draw, yes, your odds are terrible. it's not just about chances of winning, also consider how much money goes in when you win vs when you lose.
>Why wouldn't the big blind just raise each and every time with that logic?some people actually do this. you are particularly susceptible if you play too many weak hands preflop.
but if you're only playing strong hands from under the gun (say 88 is the weakest hand you play) you usually connect to AKT flop and she will usually get punished if she's bluffing into you constantly.
>>10493784>he limped 99 utg, any further analysis is pointlessat the very least, you can discuss the position it puts you in to illustrate why it's a marginal hand.
raise first in is obviously standard but it's okay to deviate from online 16-table dogma if you're live at a casino playing against saturday night drunks or the sunday morning pension check geriatric crew. in that case it's pretty fundamental to understand a raise isn't narrowing bb's range in any meaningful way and if you raise it's purely for value. you still have to play the hand sanely postflop.