>>95012224It's very unlikely he will win. It's a guarantee that he will lose all the states he lost in 2016 (other than maybe New Hampshire), so the Democrats have an easy pathway.
The three easiest targets would be Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania and winning those three would secure a win.
Michigan Clinton lost because she didn't push hard enough in the state but it was a pretty big battleground state in the last week, it's almost kind of shocking that she lost it. Chance of Dems taking it in 2020: 60-40.
Pennsylvania is the same as Michigan, it's almost insulting. Hillary Clinton did not campaign at all in PA and that gave the state a sour taste towards her, bitch could literally just walk into that state and she would have won it.
Wisconsin is a clusterfuck and a true wild card. The government there is one of the most hardhitting gerrymandering states in the USA. They are known to have a lot of shady practices regarding voting, giving blue districts odd deadlines for voter registration and commonly known to "lose" voter information in blue districts. Donald J. Trump won Wisconsin by about 35,000 votes. It's estimated that Wisconsin "lost' the records of and therefore turned away about 50,000 voters. If they have a Dem governor in 2020, Dems will win, if not they'll lose because it'll be the same shit.
