>>13285957I know nothing about climate science, but something I've always wondered is that even assuming that our measurements of climate from the far past are unbiased (in both the statistical and political sense), wouldn't they still have a "smoothing" effect?
Like if we're measuring the climate from 10000 years ago, there's no way we could isolate a single year, we're measuring the average climate in a 100-ish year block. In other words, the variance would be much smaller, and we have no information about the short-term variance.