>>13158739>>13158744>>13158754>>13158757SpaceX is targeting 2024 for flying Cargo missions to Mars. Hohman Transfer window is every 2 years.
https://www.reddit.com/r/SpaceXLounge/comments/dtm5bc/mars_launch_windows_20202030/>inb4redditSome faggot did the math for calculating the dates and there's too much info and too many graphics to post here, so deal with it
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There's about 2-4 transfer windows every 2 years. If you assume that Starlink is successful and prints SpaceX obscene amounts of money, then you can reasonably assume that SpaceX intends to launch ~100 ships to Mars per transfer window.
Between 2024 to 2029; which is 5 years, you have a total of: 14 transfer windows. With Starlink funding, and each Starship costing say $25M to produce (with crew capacity, life support, etc) at a scale of 100 ships per fleet per transfer window, you're looking at 1400 Starships to Mars at say 50 people per ship (because of the long duration journey).
That means a total transference of: 70,000 people by the end of the decade. If you drop the transfer windows down to 10, then you're looking at 50,000 people. If you drop the number of people to 25 per ship for the journey, then you're looking at 25,000 people. If you drop from 100 ships to 50 crew starships, then you're looking at 12,500 people.
You can keep whittling away at the numbers. But the math doesn't lie. There will be upwards of at least 1-5,000 people by the time of the Boeing 2033 flyby.
