>Starlink starts printing the equivalent of a FH launch every month
>in a year, SpaceX makes back all costs of F9 launches to date
>year 2 to 5, pure profit
>SpaceX now has 3-5Bn in cash they can use to build more Starships and Super Heavies and Raptors, and use the rest to build out Starbase city
>Starship starts yeeting 480 satellites per flight
>In 100 flights, they have 42,000 satellites
>Each starlink payload flight has all the fuel it needs to launch the satellites in all the correct orbits, then come back and launch; no orbital refueling needed for payload deploys
>42k satellites allows them to tap a potential 200M clients market
>$80/mo for 50/50
>200,000,000 * 80 = $16Bn per month in revenue
>$16Bn * 12 mo = $192Bn per year in revenue
>$192Bn * 5 years (life of satellite) = $960Bn per half decade in revenue
>2030 = 9 years from now; 192Bn * 9 = 1,720,000,000,000Bn in cash on hand
----
Assuming each satellite costs $200k to make:
>200,000 * 42,000 = $8.4Bn to replace the entire network
>Starship is designed to launch ~100x per vessel
>SuperHeavy is designed to launch ~1,000x per vessel
>assuming no failure, that's $15M one time cost for SS + SH
>assuming $2M for total fuel costs of the flight
>( $2M * 100 ) +$15M = $215M for all 100 launches to do a full network replacement
>$8.4Bn + 0.215Bn = $8.615Bn
>2 network replacements effective 9 year timeline to 2030
>Total Starlink material, launch, and fuel costs: $17.23Bn
>Assuming an equivalent amount for service logistics, regulatory management, licensing fees, etc.
>Total Starlink operational cost per 9 year replacement cycles: $34.46Bn
---
>1,720,000,000,000 - 34,460,000,000 = $1,685,554,000,000Tn in cash on hand by end of the decade
---
Rural Populations Statistics:
>US: 46,100,000
>EU: 113,088,432
>AUS: 13,900,000
>SK: 9,609,379
>JPN: 10,482,515
Total addressable population of democratic nations that Starlink can address (2019): 193,180,326; ~200M for 2021.
$1.685Tn for Starbase & Mars.
