>>13105097Do we have examples of development speed for Starship? We don't have an exact analogy. Analogies don't really make sense if you put any thought to it. How is Starship development similar to any other? How is it different?
The measure of realism, is not a measure of logic/factual reality. Its a measure of feelings.
Search your hearts. What you really meant by "realism" and what people really mean by "realism" is how it FEELS real to you/me/others.
Where do we measure the feeling? It depends on conviction. Usually someone has conviction when they're dedicated. In this particular case, how dedicated is SpaceX with regards to contribution to 2026 Mars mission? The answer depends on person to person because each one will give different account of what counts as contribution. Is Starship testing/development contribution to Mars? Some will say yes, others will say its too early to tell.
TL;DR Its realistic enough for me.
