>>13012561I ended up watching the whole thing.
His arguments and figures were good and I didn’t find anything glaringly wrong with them. He’s not annoyingly salty and difficult to listen to. He’s just a mega-skeptic that doesn’t appear to believe in any of the possible ways that Starship could be economically viable.
He doesn’t believe in the satellite market responding to decreased prices with a glut of new launches.
He doesn’t believe that Starlink will finally be the one to make satellite internet a mainstream commercial success.
He doesn’t believe that full reusability with fast turnaround is possible.
He doesn’t believe that they’ll achieve radical per-vehicle cost savings from an automotive-style manufacturing line.
He doesn’t believe that the government will foot the bill for tons of mass to the moon or Mars.
Surely some of these things will not pan out. But having all of them flop seems unlikely. You have to wonder with turboskeptics like this guy: why do they feel the need to take this ideological stance then try to do all of the gymnastics to prop it up with justifications? Does it just stem from taking contrarianism to its extreme?
