Hello fellow zoomers. You have probably heard of very famous eceleb Dream. Dream is an autistic Minecraft player who does speedruns. In one of his recent speedruns he got some insane drops that are seemingly not possible, well technically they are as possible as winning two lotteries in a row whilst only purchasing two lottery tickets in your entire life. Here's the video that goes into more advanced math only stat PhD students are familiar with. So if there are still some boomers on this board who are disattached from current trends, you should check it out.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-MYw9LcLCb4

Any statisticians who can point out if there was something wrong with the math in the video? Dream claims some stat PhD he hired says their calculations are wrong, or maybe not the calculations or the distribution that was used, or the entire approach, or the interpretation.. whatever. How would you approach this problem? Would it be any different from the autistic speedrun mods?