>>12428493December averages 250k deaths, which would put 2020 at 3,100,000 deaths, and your data is missing 10 days in November, and the data from the earlier weeks still needs to catch up. To stay within your trend, 2020 would need to finish at around 2,950,000 deaths. It's going to exceed the trend by at least 150k and more likely 200k.
>Point is this is not some kind of unprecedented cataclysmic event.It's the highest growth in deaths and mortality rate from one year to the next since the Spanish Flu, and by a wide margin. Going back to the 1930s, I couldn't find any year that increased by more than 4.5%, and most were within 2.5%. 2020 will have a growth of anywhere from 8-11%.
