>>12320308Simple explanation for why this is retarded:
Is there anything suspicious if in a list of numbers, about half of the numbers are between 400 and 800? Of course not. In this list, about half the numbers would have 4, 5, 6, or 7 as the first digits. But wait! Benford's Law says that only 30% of the numbers should have 4, 5, 6, or 7 as the first digit. Is Benford's Law wrong? No, just misapplied. Our list has mostly 3-digit numbers. The kinds of lists Benford's Law works well are lists that have lots of numbers with different numbers of digits. For example, a list with comparable amounts of 3-digit, 4-digit, 5-digit, and 6-digit numbers would be expected to satisfy Benford's Law pretty well.
That list in which about half the numbers are between 400 and 800 is the vote tallies for Biden in Milwaukee. Of course it doesn't agree with Benford's Law. Why do Trump's counts agree with it? They don't, but the difference is not as large. The reason: Trump's vote counts in Milwaukee are also mostly 3 digits, but he got a lot more 2-digit vote counts than Biden. This makes the list of Trump vote counts closer to the kind of list Benford's Law works well on.
