/sci/ - Science & Math » Thread #12303250

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Anonymous Tue 03 Nov 20:42:09 2020 No.12303250 View Reply Original Report

Quoted By: >>12303263 >>12305583 >>12305637

why are accurate election predictions so difficult when there is so much data available and we now have the computing power to make sense of it?

Anonymous

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Anonymous Tue 03 Nov 2020 20:44:19 No.12303263 Report

Quoted By: >>12304857 >>12305649

>>12303250
it isnt hard to figure out, what is hard is getting the Jews to stop lying about it

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 03 Nov 2020 20:45:29 No.12303267 Report

Quoted By: >>12303301

is this a genuine question OP
are you believing in the benevolence of the system at hand

Anonymous

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Anonymous Tue 03 Nov 2020 20:55:36 No.12303301 Report

Quoted By: >>12304816

>>12303267
the special interest groups that actually set most policy usually don’t do this by getting one candidate in over another but instead by having both on the payroll. fudging the results of the most watched election in the world would also be pretty noticeable to those who know what to look for. it makes sense for the system to have legitimate elections, and make sure they don’t have much impact either way.

purely from a statistics perspective i’m interested in why these things can’t be predicted with the amount of data out there.

Anonymous

Anonymous Wed 04 Nov 2020 15:17:30 No.12304807 Report

Quoted By: >>12305493

I'll take advantage of this thread and ask for help with math.

Biden is leading 0.2 with 10% of votes to be counted. What result does Trump need in those 10% to turn it around?

Anonymous

Anonymous Wed 04 Nov 2020 15:25:12 No.12304816 Report

Quoted By:

>>12303301
In such a situation, it can absolutely be predicted. But there is an alternative explanation: they lie.
Their saying they can't implies a level of chaos, which implies a lack of control by higher authorities, which implies that voting matters. A people believing that voting matters placates them to some degree - placation being a cheaper method of control than mass arms and overt violence.

Anonymous

Anonymous Wed 04 Nov 2020 15:42:51 No.12304857 Report

Quoted By:

>>12303263

But then how will I triple my bets?

Anonymous

Anonymous Wed 04 Nov 2020 15:47:04 No.12304869 Report

Quoted By:

>what are sample sizes

Anonymous

Anonymous Wed 04 Nov 2020 19:57:06 No.12305493 Report

Quoted By:

>>12304807
More than 2.2 points

Anonymous

Anonymous Wed 04 Nov 2020 20:33:15 No.12305583 Report

Quoted By:

>>12303250
>so much data available

assume you ask me if I prefer red or blue.

I tell you that I prefer red, then you start fabricating red shirt so you can encounter my buying preferences.

Except I've lied and I loathe red and I like blue, so you wonder why you haven't been selling your red shirts since you had the right data, except your data is moot.

El Arcón

El Arcón Wed 04 Nov 2020 20:55:43 No.12305637 Report

Quoted By:

>>12303250
good question

Anonymous

Anonymous Wed 04 Nov 2020 20:58:26 No.12305649 Report

Quoted By:

>>12303263
you have to go back

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