/sci/ - Science & Math » Thread #12284267

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Which has a higher likelihood of happening first?

Anonymous Thu 29 Oct 00:07:35 2020 No.12284267 View Reply Original Report

Quoted By: >>12284383

Yellowstone mega-eruption or a New Madrid mega-earthquake?

I want to know the difference, even if really low probability for both. Strategic relocater here.

Anonymous

Anonymous Thu 29 Oct 2020 00:24:12 No.12284321 Report

Quoted By: >>12284360

Rolling for both simultaneously

Anonymous

Anonymous Thu 29 Oct 2020 00:35:27 No.12284360 Report

Quoted By:

>>12284321
Much worse than California quakes. Just doesn't happen as often

New Madrid quake of 1811 made the Mississippi flow backwards. Just wasn't populated back then.

Anonymous

Anonymous Thu 29 Oct 2020 00:35:28 No.12284361 Report

Quoted By:

Blacks will reduce the country to rubble long before either

Anonymous

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Anonymous Thu 29 Oct 2020 00:42:11 No.12284383 Report

Quoted By: >>12284387 >>12284393 >>12284414

>>12284267
new madrid definitely, yellowstone is mostly a meme and would likely give a lot more warning and time to prepare before it ever pops off

Anonymous

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Anonymous Thu 29 Oct 2020 00:45:53 No.12284387 Report

Quoted By: >>12284410 >>12284414

>>12284383
shit I meant to post the other page, oh well
https://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2009/3071/pdf/FS09-3071.pdf
they raised the estimates a little bit in 2014, i'm too lazy to dig through more reports though
https://www.usgs.gov/news/threat-earthquakes-occurring-central-united-states-still-alive

Anonymous

Anonymous Thu 29 Oct 2020 00:48:44 No.12284393 Report

Quoted By:

>>12284383
>would likely give a lot more warning

Thanks, I don't like surprises.

Maybe this is a stupid question, since the new Madrid quake has some precedent. But, I guess I mean an even larger one than the 1811 as depicted above. What schizos & theorists talk about splitting the U.S. in two.

Anonymous

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Anonymous Thu 29 Oct 2020 00:53:28 No.12284410 Report

Quoted By:

>>12284387
Nice thanks anon

Anonymous

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Anonymous Thu 29 Oct 2020 00:57:14 No.12284414 Report

Quoted By:

>>12284387
>>12284383
and for yellowstone the big eruptions are usually a couple million years apart vs 500 years or so for 1811 type earthquakes
at some point it will probably make another big boom, but the timing is too irregular to make any good predictions other than likely within the next 3 million years and we haven't seen any real signs of an eruption being likely in the short term

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