>>12215314>Things it won't do>Be anywhere near as cheap as a Falcon 1Does ~$20 million per launch count as near or far from Falcon 1? I'm thinking Starship will start off at $30 million or slightly less per launch, then rapidly drop to twenty-ish, then slowly drop from there.
>Deliver humans to the moon under ArtemisArtemis will eventually morph into NASA paying other companies to build surface exploration vehicles that SpaceX sends to the Moon using Starships refueled on highly elliptical Earth orbits.
>Send cargo to Mars before 2029You're crazy if you think they aren't gonna throw some old shitbox Starships at Mars to try out the landing methods during the next few launch windows.
>Send humans to Mars this decadeEh, I'll concede that. There's a lot of stuff they can do here in the Earth-Moon system to work out the technological bugs anyway.
>Fly people in the first half of this decadeIf they get Starships to orbit in 2021, they'll be able to launch dozens of times in 2022 and maybe a hundred times in 2023, so I see no reason why they won't be able to justify to the FAA at that point that riding the thing isn't a suicide attempt, which means some daredevil guys with big nuts are gonna probably go up and come back.
>E2E (especially not with passengers)US Military is currently trying to pay SpaceX to do cargo E2E stuff (so that when the FOBs chair force office AC unit breaks down they can get a replacement there before it gets uncomfortable)
>Be Soyuz-tier weather-resistantReminder that a blizzard is more benign to launch into than a rain storm because snow has a very low density and won't hammer the vehicle as hard
>Launch multiple times dailyJust build ten Boosters and 100 Starships
