>>12206144>the surprise of being alive now implies the doomsday argument?no
you have to update the doomsday date with every passing day, since with every passing day there have been more observers in the past and so to balance that out you have to postpone doomsday by another day as well.
thus you never reach doomsday just from that reasoning
and the surprise of being alive now is only pointing to YOU being alive now. the humans that you observe around you don't fall under this logic since you don't share their observer-perspective.
>>12206208no
given the set of all conceivably-possible observations, most of those observations would exist in one of the common immortal observers
it might seem like observations from mortal observers should outnumber the observations from immortal observers since there are more mortal observers than immortal observers, and so you should expect to be a mortal observer yourself
but that's not the case since one immortal observer performing infinite observations for eternity outweighs many mortal observers performing finite observations
no matter how much the myriad mortal observers outnumber a single immortal observer by, as long as they don't outnumber him by infinity, then most observations will be from the one immortal observer.
thus, given the fact that you are performing an observation right now, that observation you just performed is going to belong to the more common class of observations: the immortal's observations.
so a finite number of mortal observers are allowed to exist
