/sci/ - Science & Math » Thread #12174139

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Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 09:19:10 2020 No.12174139 View Reply Original Report

Quoted By: >>12175762 >>12175771 >>12175827 >>12175853 >>12175923 >>12176095 >>12176290 >>12176325 >>12176330 >>12176442 >>12177976

Probability theory is unfalsiable. A coin can land on heads forever and the probabilty of heads will still be 1/2.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 19:10:08 No.12175762 Report

Quoted By:

>>12174139
Bullshit, coin can land on the side.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 19:11:17 No.12175771 Report

Quoted By: >>12175927 >>12176135 >>12176321

>>12174139
According to the goat paradox the probability will be 2/3 of the coin being head when you saw it being tail

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 19:24:39 No.12175827 Report

Quoted By:

>>12174139
Wait till you figure out that coins can be rigged

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 19:34:51 No.12175853 Report

Quoted By:

>>12174139
Nassim Taleb has written about this somewhere. I forgot the argument but he provides a proof with it.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 19:54:32 No.12175923 Report

Quoted By:

>>12174139
>not accounting for the unseen side of the coin existing in both head and tail states that is only definite when observed and thus the probability of either outcome is always 1

Anonymous

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Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 19:56:08 No.12175927 Report

Quoted By:

>>12175771

Anonymous

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Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 20:00:50 No.12175941 Report

Quoted By: >>12176255 >>12176329

What if the Sun not turning into a black hole is just "landing on heads" forever? Existence right now is just landing on reality for a small stretch in an infinite sequence of realitiy/non-reality.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 20:45:19 No.12176095 Report

Quoted By:

>>12174139
>2020
>still using probability theory
>not possibility theory

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 20:56:36 No.12176135 Report

Quoted By: >>12176262

>>12175771
monty python's goat problem has no real world application, why do they teach that shit in highschool?

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 21:36:14 No.12176248 Report

Quoted By:

Just wait til you learn about "e" and compounding probability
You're in for a mind blow, OP

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 21:36:58 No.12176255 Report

Quoted By: >>12176342

>>12175941
Billions of stars and billions of planets, some of them have to land on heads longer than others.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 21:37:35 No.12176262 Report

Quoted By:

>>12176135
>has no real world application
>Is based on a game show where you win money if you guess right

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 21:42:51 No.12176290 Report

Quoted By: >>12176301 >>12176325

>>12174139
>forever
Define "forever."

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 21:45:42 No.12176301 Report

Quoted By: >>12176323

>>12176290
Until the universe ceases to exist

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 21:51:00 No.12176321 Report

Quoted By:

>>12175771
Goat isn't paradox, you don't understand maths, there are two closed doors, goat or car, and one open door with goat... It's still 50%.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 21:52:02 No.12176323 Report

Quoted By:

>>12176301
Why would it?

Anonymous

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Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 21:52:57 No.12176325 Report

Quoted By:

>>12176290
>>12174139
>Using frequentist interpretation to pretend you can flip infinite coins
>Not just *believing* the coin will land on heads forever with probability 0.5

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 21:53:29 No.12176329 Report

Quoted By:

>>12175941
That mean you can't properly limit fliping of a coin to fliping of a coin. Then there's stuff that's also deterministic, but still not 50/50.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 21:53:48 No.12176330 Report

Quoted By:

>>12174139
A probability of a single* heads will still be 1/2

Anonymous

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Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 21:56:54 No.12176342 Report

Quoted By: >>12176459

>>12176255
The Sun could spontenously collapse into a black hole tomorrow and it's not impossible.

Anonymous

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Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 21:59:31 No.12176350 Report

Quoted By:

I can be a virgin forever and the probabilty of having a gf is still 1/2.

Anonymous

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Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 22:02:51 No.12176364 Report

Quoted By: >>12176420

There is a boltzmann brain that can exist from the big bang up to now and probabilty "theory" will allow it.

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 22:18:29 No.12176420 Report

Quoted By:

>>12176364
You are a boltzmann brain right now

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 22:25:34 No.12176442 Report

Quoted By: >>12176448

>>12174139
Doubtful

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 22:27:38 No.12176448 Report

Quoted By:

>>12176442
What do you doubt about it, brainlet?

Anonymous

Anonymous Tue 29 Sep 2020 22:29:44 No.12176459 Report

Quoted By:

>>12176342
Nothing to worry about until it happens.

Anonymous

Anonymous Wed 30 Sep 2020 14:46:55 No.12177976 Report

Quoted By:

>>12174139
If you flip coin every day, probability you will be in group you're in is multipled by 0.49999 every day, therefore after year, there is no probability you happened and there are milions of alternative universes where you flipped coin differently which doesn't exist, because flipping a coin is newtonian mechanics and completly predicatble and coin lied in position even if you haven't looked?

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