>>11757003I’m the guy your first replies are referencing.
Why do you think abiogenesis is sufficiently unlikely to make the universe dead? I’m not as convinced, purely from a statistical standpoint. Even if abiogenesis is inevitable (which it certainly is not), there are still so many other hurdles life has to overcome to get to intelligence (eukaryotic life, sexual reproduction, etc). What’s the likelihood that, once abiogenesis has occurred, life would be able to surpass all those other hurdles?
To me, it seems just as unlikely (if not less likely) that life eventually evolves intelligence after abiogenesis occurs as abiogenesis occurs in the first place.
I understand the argument that abiogenesis seems to have only occurred on life once, but to be fair, the same is true with eukaryotic cells. And it’s not like we would have any evidence of it occurring more than once anyways, since RNA is (as far as we know) the only molecule that could ever be produced naturally and result in life.
