>>11741680>>11741889 If we add the delelopment costs like it was added in the shuttle`s 450 mil price tag we need to add another 2,6 billions, and that being generous and not adding the whole 7,4 nasa gave to spacex. But the shuttle was multi-role, so to compare the falcons and the shuttle we need to add both the crewed and the cargo shipments.
The shuttle had 133 missions. In the contracts for the development of the falcons and dragons capsules are included 23 flights, so just 110 more launches need to be bought to equal the shuttle.
We have 7,24 billions paid for development and 23 flights, and another 5,5 to 6 billions will have to be paid for the 110 flights needed to equal the shuttle. In total at least 12,74 billions needed to pay for 133 falcon flights to equal the shuttle.
Which gives a real cost for falcon/dragon capsule at over 100 mil for each flight, not the 56 they are trying to shill. Definitely more than later soyuz flights, definitely much more than early soyuz.
Still around 110 is better than 450 millions. Boeing charges 90 millions but needed less money for development than space x, only 4,8 billions. Adding the development costs we get 126 millions per launch, just some 20 millions more than spacex. That is due to the reusability of the first stage and the fairings in cargo.
But the shuttle could launch both large cargo`s and crewed missions at the same time, something the capsules can`t do. Falcon 9 can`t launch space station modules and i don`t know if falcon heavy can either. So Nasa because of chosing comercial launches had to put another 18b in sls, which will have a 2,5 billions launch cost. We get 332 billions for 133 sls launches plus an optimistic 20 billions development costs so we have 352 billions for 133 launches which means 2.65 billions per launch. Adding the ability to launch people of spaceX we get 2.75 billions per launch to replace the shuttle.