post your projections of the pandemic.

The graph is based on the following algorithm:
>calculate the daily spread rate for each country
>take an average of the spread rate over the last 7 days
>for each day, multiply the number of infected by this average spread rate, repeat for the next 12 days

the data is from yesterday, so day 1 is actually right now. It's off by 12 thousand.

DESU it wasn't supposed to be an epidemiological study, I did it as an exercise as I just started learning Python. If there's anyone else on /sci/ modelling the pandemic out of boredom or curiosity, post your predictions in this thread.
If you have any suggestions on how to improve my model without going into some highly advanced shit, feel free to do so.