>>11511037Is your lag phase due to no one having the virus, or no one testing for the virus?
As in HIV, the number of asymptomatic (or presymptomatic) carriers far outnumbers the population that actually has symptoms serious enough to hospitalize.
The big question that nobody knows is how long a recovered patient is contagious. If it's more than a few weeks, all of America will eventually get it. The virus will outlast our ability to take an economic hit for the team.
Expect a second outbreak around Easter, when the poor start getting evicted / foreclosed on, run out of money, and the relief money runs out.