/sci/ - Science & Math » Thread #11505265

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Deniers btfo'd

Anonymous Fri 27 Mar 03:42:53 2020 No.11505265 View Reply Original Report

Quoted By:

The happening is back on denialist fags.
https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/coronavirus-pandemic-neil-ferguson-did-not-walk-back-covid-19-predictions/amp/

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 27 Mar 2020 03:57:41 No.11505308 Report

Quoted By: >>11506246

Maybe dumb, but answer me this.

How can the transmission model change (meaning it's more transmissible), but the mortality rate not change? If it's more transmissible, does that mean there's more cases we don't know of, therefore it's less lethal?

I would have thought they're related. Someone clear this up please.

britmed !pYMa6ftzOQ

britmed !pYMa6ftzOQ Fri 27 Mar 2020 12:57:57 No.11506246 Report

Quoted By:

>>11505308
>does that mean there's more cases we don't know of, therefore it's less lethal
yes
>mortality rate not change
actually their estimate of IFR (infection mortality rate) is changing a lot depending on the number of estimated asymtpmatic/clinically well infections

here is a good summary of the various estimates: https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global-covid-19-case-fatality-rates/

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