>>11495954The rates of infection are a geometric progression or exponential growth..... Looking at WHO data for Europe some people seem surprised that in 67 days we got 100,000 and 11 days later 200,000 and then only four days later 300,000. But if you use logarithms you can see its an underlying daily increase that is fairly constant at about 17% more per day.
k^67 = 100k. take logs : 67.ln(k) = ln(100000) so the first daily rate is 1.18 or 18%. i.e. e(l(100000)/67)
go forward 11 days: e(l(200000)/78) = 1.169 or still 17%
go forward 4 days to the scary 300k total: e(l(300000)/82) == 1.166
so the daily infection rate is fairly constant.
USA you really need to lock down
