>>11439412Why does it matter?
Notice: any of the following may be the case
1) first shot is critical and the second shot is not
2) the first shot isnt critical and the second one is
3) first shot is critical and the second one is also critical
The probability of it being critical is fixed at 50%. Notice: this means it is 50% regardless of wether it came first or second. I.e: order doesn't matter.
So, let's say we order them like so:
1) first shot is critical and the second one is not
2) second shot is critical and the first one is not
3) first shot is critical and the second one is also critical
Let's call the shot referred to in the first part of each sentence above as "X" (aka: "the critical one") and the second part as "Y" ("the other one")
Given that X is critical, what is the probability that both X and Y are critical?
= 1 (because definitely happens) * 0.5
