>>11416783another ai winter, and relatively soon.
the truth is that human brain has astronomical computational capacity and computers are orders of magnitude too weak. The current dl algorithms are a variation of algorithms from 1980s, except computers are about 1M times faster per watt now which is what made them work.
At some point artificial computing is going to be powerful enough for agi to be possible and another ai boom is going to happen (probably the last one), but I can't say what increases are needed.