>>11364007To not be fucked, our present observations of the transmissibility and lethality of the virus need to be grossly overestimated
Way this DOESN'T kill a million people:
>transmission is magically harder in non-shithole countries>the virus can't transmit well when it's spring-time>turns out very few people actually get seriously sick and Wuhan burning bodies 24/7 and building several thousand extra hospital beds (which were literally just hospital beds, no isolation, equipment, whatever, fucking death auditoriums) was just a quirk bro>some drug we have already created does a pretty good job of reducing death and can be administered at home>incubation period is actually way shorter and people have just been dumb or haven't realized how they were exposedRight now, death occurs around 28 days after infection- 7-14(+??) day incubation, 7 days for symptoms to get bad enough to be hospitalized, another 7-14 days to die in hospital. LONG ASS LAG THERE.
The other calculus is that even a small number of hospitalizations will totally overwhelm even modern healthcare systems, dramatically reducing quality of care for new admissions and ramping up expected mortality. No one has the ICUs to deal with a mass infection and 20% of infected needing ICU treatment. It's fine when you've got a dozen, 50 people, 100 people ill in a super-modern country, but 1,000? 10,000? Nah bro
>>11364017Are you retarded? Why SHOULDN'T you have at least a few weeks of food you'd already eat by now? People are going to freak the fuck out all at once and you're going to die in some supermarket riot
