/sci/ - Science & Math » Thread #11348545

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Anonymous Fri 31 Jan 16:13:30 2020 No.11348545 View Reply Original Report

Quoted By: >>11348586 >>11348590

Well sci?

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 31 Jan 2020 16:21:55 No.11348564 Report

Quoted By: >>11348583

9000?

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 31 Jan 2020 16:26:36 No.11348574 Report

Quoted By:

GOS I WISH I HAD A KURISU GF

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 31 Jan 2020 16:28:49 No.11348583 Report

Quoted By: >>11348625

>>11348564
Assume there are 9000 cases in China. Consider the set people they come in contact with. What proportion of this set will travel to the west, and end up as detected cases there?

Anonymous

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Anonymous Fri 31 Jan 2020 16:29:19 No.11348586 Report

Quoted By:

>>11348545
>Kurisu!

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 31 Jan 2020 16:30:42 No.11348590 Report

Quoted By:

>>11348545
jesus, statistics is lifeless boring, I'm glad I've took math instead any other subjects which feels like 99% statistics, 1% domain knowledge

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 31 Jan 2020 16:40:46 No.11348621 Report

Quoted By:

True # cases in China:

Extremely simple model: Percentage of travelers from China with Corona = Percentage of people in China with Corona.

Variables needed:

* Number of travellers total (where?)
* Number of international cases (easily found)
* Population of china (easily found)

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 31 Jan 2020 16:42:43 No.11348625 Report

Quoted By:

>>11348583
around 80 people will travel

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 31 Jan 2020 17:13:20 No.11348712 Report

Quoted By:

120 international cases
population outside china is 6 billion
population inside china is 1 billion
6 billion / 120 = 1 billion / x
20 cases in china

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