>>11347846We are at officially 10.000 infected.
I would at least multiply it by 10 for the real number.
100.000 infected and we finally stopped the flights. Lets assume we have about 5k - 15k infected walking around Europe, US, Australia etc
Each person infects 15-25 people.
It takes 2 - 3 weeks for the virus to kick in and you are dead within 3 - 4 weeks if you receive full time care.
You can assume we will enforce serious containment measures when we reach 20k - 100k infected, because that higher then the total hospital capacity of most countries. It will then still take another hundred thousand infected until they make it stop.
You can assume 600k dead per country at least.
I would argue 10% of world population if we do a good job. 30% if we fuck up.