Can /sci/ do probability yet?

No.11225445 ViewReplyOriginalReport
You are a biologist traveling through a rainforest when you are bitten by a venomous snake. Luckily the antidote to this venom is secreted on the back of the male of a certain species of frog native to this rainforest. You know females and males exist in equal proportion and appear indistinguishable aside from the fact that females croak randomly but males never croak. Amazingly, you see a frog of this species sitting silently in front of you. You then hear a croak and turn around to see a pair of these frogs where the croak came from. Knowing that you only have enough time to run to the lone frog to lick its back or to the pair to lick both their backs, which direction do you run and what is your chance of survival?

https://www.strawpoll.me/19084812