Doomsday Argument

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Thoughts on the argument?

There are two boxes: one with numbers between 1 and 10, and one between 1 and 10 million. You don't know which box is in front of you, but when you draw a number, it says 6. It is then pretty safe to assume that you drew from the first box. Now, instead of numbers, you have all the people that will ever be born. You draw 60 billion (you are alive around now). Applying the same logic, and because you are not a priveleged observer, the more people that will ever live, the more unlikely it becomes that you were born so early. Just from probability there should then be a 95% chance that no more than 1.2 trillion people will ever live. As you start to approach 10 trillion, it nears probabilistically impossible

It seems intuitive but at the same time wrong that so much information can be gained simply from the Copernican principle and probability. If it is right, it is at least positive for us in that it is then unlikely that we are the last generation. Negative in that humanity will not expand itself into space

Also
>nick bostrom