>>14281270Without SpaceX, the only commercially available rockets in the entire US/EU right now would be Ariane V and recycled solid ICBMs like Omega and Minotaur (without Falcon 1, there might have been no Rocketlab either)
If Russians get to Dnipro, which seems likely:
>Antaresfirst stage Ukrainian, engine Russian - dead
>SoyuzH2O2 was sourced to Russians by Germans, might be sourced from elsewhere, but even then they already lost like 90% of their market and launching from CSG - likely dead
>Firefly>RFA>possibly other newspace companiesco-developing (if not outsourcing) engines with Ukrainians, but the know-how is relatively safe - might only be stalled
>Vega/Vega-CUkrainian upper stage - dead
>Atlas Vdefinitely ends the hypothetical "just buy more RD-180s" - dead
>Zenit/Tsyklon-4was supposed to launch from Nova Scotia - dead