>>14257526>noWhy not? August 2022 seems like a reasonable date. Unless you believe that the FAA will issue an EIS, but I don't think that will happen. All the rumors seem to lean towards the FAA forcing SpaceX to keep Boca as an R&D site
>probably notWhy? I don't see any reason SpaceX couldn't test refueling by late 2023 or 2024, and SpaceX will definitely send some starships to Mars in 2024 just because they can.
>definitely notBy dress rehearsal I didn't mean actually sending humans to mars, just pretty much doing an unmanned copy of the mission trajectory with some starships.
>absolutely notWhy? I don't think you realize how long 6 years is for SpaceX.
>lol. just lol.I don't think the effects of it will begin to show until the late 2030s. I said triggered, not started.
>no but i wish De-facto canceled, ie NASA will fully spin it out to a private company and it'll just slowly die.
>too many factors and too far out, but i would remove a digit from that at least. there’s no political or economic reason for that much on the moon but 20 ish years is a long time. Once starship is fully operational there is no reason independent science organizations (NOT NASA) will not want to pay SpaceX for a chance at lunar research. I based my comment off what SpaceX has said themselves about their moon plans - they have stated many times (including in a recent conference) that they expect a moonbase of several hundred to several thousand (mcmurdo scale essentially) researchers.
>probably. the american lunar program sucks shit and the chinese is quite literally the best they can do. if congress decides to limit starship use in setting up a lunar base the chinese actually have greater capabilities Again, I'm talking about independent/non NASA scientific researchers. The NASA base will probably be defacto connected to these researchers anyways though.
I am very aware, thank you.
