SpaceX - Starship won't reach orbit in 2022 - Bet
No.14178273 ViewReplyOriginalReport
Quoted By: >>14178383 >>14178388
SpaceX is planning to send a "Starship" to orbit in 2022. I will list all the reasons that this is not possible with its current configuration:
>100 tons to orbit is a joke. This is a lightweight metal-can with not enough structural integrity to carry that much weight on TOP of a huge massive fuel tank.
>The flimsy steel is not going to survive Max-Q and is more likely to break apart
>There are too many "Raptor" engines, which means way more points of failure. If one or a few of them fail, there will not be enough thrust to get it to orbital speeds.
>No orbital abort system like a Saturn V
That's a good start. It is very unlikely that SpaceX Starship will make it to orbit, let alone the moon or Mars. Landing 100-tons of payload on mars is a WHOLE other impossible can of worms, the most humanity has ever landed on Mars was about 2-tons. 100tons on Mars is completely laughable.
I bet $100 that SpaceX Starship will not reach orbit in 2022, unless it somehow undergoes a massive redesign. If I win, I'll donate $100 to St. Jude Children's Hospital in my name. If I lose, I'll donate $100 to SJCH on behalf of SpaceX Starship.
>100 tons to orbit is a joke. This is a lightweight metal-can with not enough structural integrity to carry that much weight on TOP of a huge massive fuel tank.
>The flimsy steel is not going to survive Max-Q and is more likely to break apart
>There are too many "Raptor" engines, which means way more points of failure. If one or a few of them fail, there will not be enough thrust to get it to orbital speeds.
>No orbital abort system like a Saturn V
That's a good start. It is very unlikely that SpaceX Starship will make it to orbit, let alone the moon or Mars. Landing 100-tons of payload on mars is a WHOLE other impossible can of worms, the most humanity has ever landed on Mars was about 2-tons. 100tons on Mars is completely laughable.
I bet $100 that SpaceX Starship will not reach orbit in 2022, unless it somehow undergoes a massive redesign. If I win, I'll donate $100 to St. Jude Children's Hospital in my name. If I lose, I'll donate $100 to SJCH on behalf of SpaceX Starship.
