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Proof that Probability is Fake

Anonymous Fri 31 Dec 23:03:01 2021 No.14040015 View Reply Original Report

Quoted By: >>14040027 >>14040310

My boy Grant did it! 3blew1blown proved that probability isn't real!
>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mZBwsm6B280
>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pJyKM-7IgAU

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 31 Dec 2021 23:05:35 No.14040027 Report

Quoted By: >>14040052 >>14040122

>>14040015
Everyone already knows that the universe is deterministic, we just lack the dimensionality to calculate many things on fundamentally small scales, what do you think string theory is?

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 31 Dec 2021 23:12:30 No.14040052 Report

Quoted By:

>>14040027
>believes in string theory
thanks, i really needed a reassurance that i'm not that dumb

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 31 Dec 2021 23:31:09 No.14040122 Report

Quoted By:

>>14040027
Someone didn’t watch the video

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 31 Dec 2021 23:57:21 No.14040224 Report

Quoted By: >>14040259 >>14040269

brainlet here, what is the actual paradox? he didn't explain it in the videos but i only had listened to one of them while playing video games

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 01 Jan 2022 00:05:23 No.14040259 Report

Quoted By: >>14040288

>>14040224
Depending on how you define the "random distribution" of chords on a circle you get different probabilities

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 01 Jan 2022 00:08:22 No.14040269 Report

Quoted By: >>14040288 >>14040299

>>14040224
>what is the actual paradox?
There is no "paradox" per se. It's simply unclear what a uniform distribution of cords is supposed to mean. You get different distributions of chords if you use different parameters to define them, even if the values you pick for the parameters are picked from a uniform distribution.

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 01 Jan 2022 00:13:01 No.14040288 Report

Quoted By: >>14040319

>>14040259
>>14040269
>different distributions of chords if you use different parameters to define them
so a literal nothingburger.
math is one half making up rules, and the other half proving the made up rules by applying them to themselves.

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 01 Jan 2022 00:15:12 No.14040299 Report

Quoted By: >>14040313

>>14040269
So uniformity is in the eye of the beholder?

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 01 Jan 2022 00:18:16 No.14040310 Report

Quoted By:

>>14040015
what are the chances that probability is fake?

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 01 Jan 2022 00:18:43 No.14040313 Report

Quoted By:

>>14040299
As explained in the video (and bonus bits), uniformity is based upon some sense of symmetry i.e. if you have a uniform distribution of binary numbers, the distribution shouldnt change every 1 into a 0 and vice versa.

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 01 Jan 2022 00:22:05 No.14040319 Report

Quoted By: >>14040380

>>14040288
>so a literal nothingburger.
In the second video, he goes into detail about why this is a problem: imagine you're trying to gain knowledge in the face of uncertainties in the real world, and you model the problem in a way that seems the most obvious, natural and justified to you; indeed, there is no objective fault with your modeling, but someone else does the same, comes up with a different model, and ends up with completely different results. Who is right? You are both modeling the same world, after all.

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 01 Jan 2022 00:38:58 No.14040380 Report

Quoted By: >>14040405

>>14040319
so one of the models is wrong? or at least doesn't represent reality, which is the most that models can do?

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 01 Jan 2022 00:44:10 No.14040405 Report

Quoted By:

>>14040380
>so one of the models is wrong?
You may have no way of knowing, unless you have empirical data that enables a frequentist interpetation.

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