>>13977466No I think it goes down. I look at daily updated charts on this kind of thing.
Like you can roughly calculate a live reproduction rate of covid for a whole region by just dividing the number of cases by the number of cases from the previous time period.
You get a number that is changing a lot as conditions change. Like during the initial lock downs early in 2020, it seems like the reproduction rate went below 1, but I recall that for a long time things just kind of hung out at slightly above 1, as if people only relaxed their precautions against covid exactly to a specific rate of covid spread.
But then you can also ask "Whats the reproduction rate among people who have no immunity?", and to answer that you need to look at case studies like those cruise ships that got covid or look at national reproduction rates and account for how many people are already immune. That number for the original covid variants was 3, for the delta variant its like 5 or 6, and for Omicron it is appearing to be 6 or 7.
>>13977462>I’m pretty sure measles didn’t have quite as much cases as covid has had per yearWell I think that might be technically true, but only because measles immunity was wide spread. What is not true is that measles was "smaller". It was deadlier and more transmissible and terrorized society for a long long time.
Sometimes measles would reach areas where people had no immunity, and then you really would see like, a large majority of all people in the community getting measles in one year- more cases per year than Covid.
