>>13962417>What are the chances of this timeline holding?ISRO has to conduct three big launches or maybe 4 at the second half of next year.
>Aditya L1It will be launched from PSLV, workhorse of ISRO rn so no issues with this one.
>Two unmanned mission of Human rated GSLV Mk3 These are crucial, gslv mk3 is not same as mk2 which many people confuse. It's cryogenic upper stage has been proven well but this will be the first time ISRO will be doing back to back tests of a prototype rocket (Human rated GSLV mk3) and if things go well then 2023 for manned flight is almost certain otherwise there will be delay.
ISRO has already tested the crew escape system, dummy model of crew module on board GSLV mk3 few years back (Look up CARE/GSLV mk3 launch) along with service module. Most of the work related to crew modules are done.
>CY-3It is planned in the second half of the next year too, will be launched on GSLV Mk3.
If they succeed in sending humans to space then eventually budget will allocated for space station, there's no doubt about it. I kinda believe that ISRO can pull it off by 2030.
Only thing is that by that time USA will be on probably Mars or Moon with moon bases followed by China and then maybe some China + Russia collaboration.
