/sci/ - Science & Math » Thread #13941861

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Anonymous Thu 09 Dec 07:01:32 2021 No.13941861 View Reply Original Report

Quoted By: >>13943554 >>13945858 >>13946124 >>13946221 >>13946251 >>13946291 >>13948661

I miss futurology timeline threads. They were full of hope and wonders. Do you have any saved in your computer? Were they or are they still true?

Anonymous

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Anonymous Thu 09 Dec 2021 07:28:02 No.13941960 Report

Quoted By:

http://immortality-roadmap.com/unideatheng.pdf

Anonymous

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Anonymous Thu 09 Dec 2021 07:29:10 No.13941964 Report

Quoted By: >>13945837

https://www.unz.com/akarlin/short-history-of-3rd-millennium/

>(1) (a) Direct Technosingularity - 25%, if Kurzweil/MIRI/DeepMind are correct, with a probability peak around 2045, and most likely to be implemented via neural networks (Lin & Tegmark, 2016).

>(2) The Age of Em - <1%, since we cannot obtain functional models even of 40 year old microchips from scanning them, to say nothing of biological organisms (Jonas & Kording, 2016)

>(3) (a) Biosingularity to Technosingularity - 50%, since the genomics revolution is just getting started and governments are unlikely to either want to, let alone be successful at, rigorously suppressing it. And if AGI is harder than the optimists say, and will take considerably longer than mid-century to develop, then it's a safe bet that IQ-augmented humans will come to play a critical role in eventually developing it. I would put the probability peak for a technosingularity from a biosingularity at around 2100.

>(3) (b) Direct Biosingularity - 5%, if we decide that proceeding with AGI is too risky, or that consciousness both has cardinal inherent value and is only possible with a biological substrate.

>(4) Eschaton - 10%, of which: (a) Philosophical existential risks - 5%; (b) Malevolent AGI - 1%; (c) Other existential risks, primarily technological ones: 4%.

>(5) The Age of Malthusian Industrialism - 10%, with about even odds on whether we manage to launch the technosingularity the second time round.

Anonymous

Anonymous Thu 09 Dec 2021 18:49:41 No.13943554 Report

Quoted By: >>13946164

>>13941861
They're progressing well. And yeah I miss them too. At some point /sci/ became super jaded and filled with lazy pessimistic redditors who complain about women instead of talking about the incredibly possibilities ahead of us. A shame I wiped my old hard drive full of this stuff.

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 10 Dec 2021 07:45:56 No.13945837 Report

Quoted By:

>>13941964
I guess Klaus Schwab was right about living in a pod and being happy.

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 10 Dec 2021 07:58:39 No.13945858 Report

Quoted By: >>13946164

>>13941861
God this image is so retarded.
>cities... under the sea since it's epic!!
>quantum computers will make everything quantumly unhackable

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 10 Dec 2021 10:28:03 No.13946124 Report

Quoted By:

>>13941861
>entangled photons
What

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 10 Dec 2021 10:50:57 No.13946164 Report

Quoted By:

>>13945858
you're just allergic to s?y

>>13943554
>talking about the incredibly possibilities ahead of us
you're the redditor

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 10 Dec 2021 11:00:56 No.13946181 Report

Quoted By:

>ebola
>zika
>swine flu
LMAOOOOOOOOOOO

Anonymous

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Anonymous Fri 10 Dec 2021 11:14:07 No.13946210 Report

Quoted By: >>13946218

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 10 Dec 2021 11:18:09 No.13946218 Report

Quoted By:

>>13946210
maybe he's just romanian

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 10 Dec 2021 11:18:21 No.13946221 Report

Quoted By: >>13946228

>>13941861
>what we expected: OP
>what we got: by 2022 you won't be able to participate in society without getting new faggot juice injections every 3 months

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 10 Dec 2021 11:20:27 No.13946228 Report

Quoted By: >>13946233

>>13946221
why do you want to participate in society, normalslime?

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 10 Dec 2021 11:21:50 No.13946233 Report

Quoted By: >>13946255

>>13946228
Need a job so that I don't starve to death, mainly
If I could be born a trust fund faggot I would

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 10 Dec 2021 11:30:46 No.13946251 Report

Quoted By:

>>13941861
>Zika
now that's a name I haven't heard in a while

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 10 Dec 2021 11:32:01 No.13946255 Report

Quoted By:

>>13946233
fair enough, I was mainly objecting to the way you put it

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 10 Dec 2021 11:48:32 No.13946291 Report

Quoted By:

>>13941861
this is exactly the kinda shit I need in my life, what happened to the old sci

Anonymous

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Anonymous Fri 10 Dec 2021 11:50:45 No.13946296 Report

Quoted By:

>this is exactly the kinda shit I need in my life

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 11 Dec 2021 01:04:35 No.13948661 Report

Quoted By:

>>13941861
This is on par with /his/ fags claiming to know the starting ate of WW3 based on their historical readings

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