HELP! IM DOING AN ECONOMICS PHD AND IM STARTING TO THINK ECONOMIST ARE RETARDED
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I'm coming from a math background - no economics training. Was told to look at this model of asset prices. Its a fucking exponential function with some randomness added to it! Then some python code to calculate the parameters using the historical price of bitcoin!
>While some asset prices may follow random walks, using the proper tools to model them gives great forecasting results and accuracy. However, even with the best tools and distributions, no forecast will ever be great if a structural break exists in the data. Both our Ethereum and Bitcoin data started and ended during the COVID-19 Pandemic – mixing pre and post pandemic data is always an ill-advised move.
WTF? This is like people doing "technical analysis" thinking that if they can find the right interval to do a running average they can predict stock prices. Except this is a fucking PHD program.
Should I just drop out? This might be some of the dumbest shit I've ever seen.
>While some asset prices may follow random walks, using the proper tools to model them gives great forecasting results and accuracy. However, even with the best tools and distributions, no forecast will ever be great if a structural break exists in the data. Both our Ethereum and Bitcoin data started and ended during the COVID-19 Pandemic – mixing pre and post pandemic data is always an ill-advised move.
WTF? This is like people doing "technical analysis" thinking that if they can find the right interval to do a running average they can predict stock prices. Except this is a fucking PHD program.
Should I just drop out? This might be some of the dumbest shit I've ever seen.