>>13848676But absolutely nothing related to biochemistry or the planetary mechanics that will provide organism's home can be simplified.
Each volume of observable universe (or arbitrary smaller one) will over its lifetime only ever produce low n (trivially finite) simulation-capable civilizations. This is not a premise, just a simple fact.
Consider following scenario:
If just one of these n civilizations faithfully simulates its volume of universe, per the planterary physics + biochemistry requirement of above, this rendered volume will again statistically produce ~n civilizations (after accounting for factors, which are quotients, like:
- very small losses in sapience-fertility (although unexpectedly, the reverse might happen).
- rather small unavoidable penalty of energy expense. We are talking low n orders of magnitude, otherwise these civs drop out and become non-factors.
- simple choice to shrink the volume.
- ...
This applies to all of the more likely than not infinite amount of observable universe volumes.
For the claim that base-universe simulation-capable civs still outnumber sim-universe sim-capable civs, one of the following implications must be true:
a. the universe freezes due to heat death before anything below can happen. This is only interesting if there's no multiverse.
b. the ratio of pro-simulation:contra-simulation civs will be so heavily stacked against the pro side that the losses-per-run eventually limit the integral (of spawned civs) below the function to a value smaller than the x-value of total civs in the base universe volume.
You can immediately see how critical this competition between a simple function vs. an area function is. And it gets worse: consider that this ratio is not a naive quotient, but rather, a function generating a series.
(2/3)
