You are a biologist traveling through a rainforest and you are bitten by a venomous snake. Luckily you know the venom can be neutralized by licking the back of the male of a certain species of frog. You also know that only females of this species croak, males and females are otherwise indistinguishable from a distance, positioning and croaking behavior of a frog is random and independent from other frogs, and the population is evenly split between males and females and can be considered arbitrarily large.

Luckily you see a frog of this species in front of you. You then hear a croak behind you and turn around to see a pair of the same species of frog where the croak came from. You only have enough time to run and lick the lone frog or the pair. Which direction do you run and what is your chance of survival?

https://www.strawpoll.me/45807870