>>13736628>Maximum streak I've ever seen at a casino was 13okay
>I see 12 a few times a year (and always bet maximum on 12 streaks and always win except once)okay
> 8-10 streaks appear the sweet spot.you're looking at it again from the point of view of "how likely is a sequence of all red to happen?" The answer is: It's literally the same probably as ANY other sequence. You are just choosing an arbitrary sequence to follow. The chance of 8 reds in a row is the same exact chance as RRBRBRBR or literally another other sequence. If you picked, say, alternating red and black sequences, you would see the same number of streaks on average as all reds or all blacks. If you chose 3 reds followed by 3 blacks, its the same chance of happening as 6 reds or 6 blacks.
Somehow you have to believe there is some magic underlying probability smoke that exists.
What are the chances or 6 reds in a row? You play it 6 times, the first 3 are red, so no dice.
But wait, that roulette isn't brand new and was played before you walked up to it. Did you take into account the last rolls on it?
Okay, flip a coin 5 times. All heads. What are the chance the next one is heads? Now put the coin away. Or better yet, put it in a box with 50 other coins and then jingle them around.
What's the chance you pick up your loaded lucky coin? What if you flip 5 heads, put the coin down, then walk away and come back to it in a week. Is it still a better chance of tails? If not, when did the magic smoke disappear? A few hours? A week? What if someone picked up your coin in the meantime and flipped it without you realizing it? Did that "unload" the luck? Did it change the probably now of the next flip when you come back to it?
