>>13733539Oh my fucking goodness here we go again.
Once he opens the third door, you just instantly pretend like it never existed in the first place, and that's why you don't understand why switching works better.
Part of the problem is that Monty opens a door with a goat every time, he can't reveal the car, because then the game would be over!
So, what happens is, initially you are choosing between two goats, and one car, so your odds of being wrong are two thirds right? Get that in your head.
If he opens one of the goats, there's only a goat left and a car, so it's 50/50, but remember that you originally had two goats to chose from, and a car.
So, you probably picked one of the goats the first time, and he revealed the other goat to you, and that's why you will win even more often if you choose to switch doors.