>>13725930Those four quadrants don't have equal probabilities. Nor do they have equal costs. When you line up proper cost benefit analysis, you'll find that the commonly proclaimed "cleanup" actions are way disproportionate to the benefits, especially when weighted by probability.
Remember that a nobel prize was awarded to an economist who showed that climate change will only effect global gdp by 1% over the next century. We went through a way bigger loss over the last year with covid, and we only lost 1% of the population from it.
Pascal's wager is dealing with infinite benefits and finite costs, which is why it actually works as an argument. Even if the probability of God is low, there's tons of clear evidence that general moral behavior leads to a more pleasant life.
