Does the expectancy vary between these two different scenarios and if so what's the expectancy for each scenario? Imagine you're on a game show where the goal is to spin a red and black wheel and land on black as much as possible. You have to pick between two wheels. Wheel 1 is 20% black and the rest is red. If you pick wheel 1 you get to spin it 5 times. Wheel 2 is 5% black and the rest is red. If you pick wheel 2 you get to spin it 20 times. Which wheel should you spin considering the expected outcome of each wheel? Does it matter which one you pick? I'm too retarded so I can't into math and this has been bothering me.