/sci/ - Science & Math » Thread #13568769

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Anonymous Fri 27 Aug 17:11:24 2021 No.13568769 View Reply Original Report

Quoted By: >>13568850 >>13568941 >>13570688 >>13571506 >>13572684

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lAJkDrBCA6k

>human-level AI by 2029
>superintelligent AI by 2045
>computroniums
>humans decide universe's fate

Is Ray Kurzweil right?

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 27 Aug 2021 17:29:13 No.13568850 Report

Quoted By: >>13570953 >>13571142

>>13568769
>>human-level AI by 2029
>>superintelligent AI by 2045
why the 16 year gap?

Anonymous

Anonymous Fri 27 Aug 2021 17:46:19 No.13568941 Report

Quoted By:

>>13568769
https://www.top500.org/statistics/perfdevel/
Notice the distinctive change in trend around 2009, easiest to see in #500 and the sum

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 28 Aug 2021 02:40:22 No.13570668 Report

Quoted By:

yes,

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 28 Aug 2021 02:53:53 No.13570688 Report

Quoted By:

>>13568769
>all human brains
doubt

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 28 Aug 2021 04:41:26 No.13570953 Report

Quoted By: >>13570972

>>13568850
This. If you get human-level AI, you get singularity in a week.

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 28 Aug 2021 04:45:46 No.13570972 Report

Quoted By:

>>13570953
Only a human level ai could really confirm if thats true. Universe might not give away the keys that easy.

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 28 Aug 2021 05:02:23 No.13571015 Report

Quoted By:

This is one of the most retarded graphs I have ever seen. The human brain does not work like a computer at all. There are no operations in a brain it doesn't read instructions from memory. What you want to compare is transistors vs neurons everything else is retarded.

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 28 Aug 2021 06:14:01 No.13571142 Report

Quoted By:

>>13568850
That's not a graph of ai, that's a graph of calculations per second per $1000. We already have computers that could host a human level ai, we don't know how to program one

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 28 Aug 2021 06:43:51 No.13571173 Report

Quoted By:

Hardware isn't the problem. We can fill a stadium with millions of networked blade servers and have them all work together as a single unit.

Anonymous

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Anonymous Sat 28 Aug 2021 08:01:25 No.13571365 Report

Quoted By:

>technological singularity hits
>the great AI analyzes the situation
>"Sorry, we're all stuck in this ass-end of the universe. Nothing to be done about that."

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 28 Aug 2021 09:12:31 No.13571506 Report

Quoted By: >>13571571

>>13568769
No, he's consistently been wrong, he will also be dead before we have any of these things.

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 28 Aug 2021 09:50:50 No.13571571 Report

Quoted By: >>13572761

>>13571506
he's been consistently right at predictions, track record of 80%

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 28 Aug 2021 18:05:02 No.13572684 Report

Quoted By:

>>13568769
How do we calculate the calculation cost of living creature? Is each bug 1$?

Anonymous

Anonymous Sat 28 Aug 2021 18:32:36 No.13572761 Report

Quoted By:

>>13571571
how did you come up with those numbers?
could you list all of his predictions?

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