>>8667951>Yes you said "its a whole world they have to model" yet you provided an example of a weather event effecting a region by flooding or draining a lake. That's not the global climate we're talking about.The global climate isn't a separate thing from the local climates, it's just the aggregate of them. If you can't predict local climate change, you can't predict global climate change. If you can't predict the weather, you can't predict local climate change.
And when I say a "major weather event", I don't just mean like a hurricane. I mean like a multi-year drought. That's also weather, and they can't predict it.
>Of course, events like forest fires are taken into accountSo you're saying they predict the weather? A generalized rate isn't enough.
You can't just assume the variations all average out. They don't. They feed into each other, and can end up taking the whole system off in a certain direction, potentially in such a way that there's no pressure for the system to return to how it was before, just more such random variation.
