I found your problem!
There isn't any expected value.
It has no value.
It's fucking printed cardboard.
The costs of art, R&D, shipping and printing get absorbed with the first weekend of prerelease in just one of the major countries (america/europe).
It's worth as much as the cardboard box of cereals you eat in the morning.
It's not gold, it's not marble, it's not food, it's not water, it costs nothing to harvest and produce, it can be printed in unlimited supply, it's not an art piece that took months and skilled craftmanship to produce, it's not a piece of electronics that took years of funding to figure out how to achieve (don't get me started with all the bitcoin GPUs thing).
A Black Lotus and an Island cost exactly the same to produce.
It's cardboard meant to be played with.
Stop. Being. Cucks.